Understanding the 30-Day Weather Forecast for San Antonio
San Antonio, Texas, known for its rich history, vibrant culture, and delicious Tex-Mex cuisine, also experiences a unique climate, making the 30-day weather forecast a crucial tool for both residents and visitors. The 30-day weather San Antonio forecast provides an extended glimpse into the potential weather patterns, helping people plan their activities, prepare for seasonal changes, and make informed decisions about their daily lives. This extended forecast is not an exact prediction but rather a general outlook, offering insights into temperature trends, precipitation probabilities, and overall weather conditions.
Forecasting, particularly for an extended period, involves understanding various atmospheric factors and utilizing complex meteorological models. Because of this, the 30-day weather San Antonio forecast provides a valuable, albeit less precise, tool for anticipating the weather. While daily forecasts offer specific details, the 30-day outlook gives a broader perspective, especially useful for long-term planning. The city's location in South Central Texas means it experiences a subtropical climate, characterized by hot summers, mild winters, and moderate rainfall throughout the year. The 30-day forecast considers these seasonal variations, providing a general idea of what to expect.
The purpose of this article is to delve into the specifics of the 30-day weather forecast for San Antonio, discussing its importance, accuracy, how to interpret it, and the best resources to access this information. We will also explore the factors that influence the San Antonio weather, the limitations of the 30-day forecast, and offer tips for using this forecast effectively. Whether you are a local resident, a potential tourist, or simply curious about the weather patterns of this dynamic Texan city, understanding the 30-day forecast is an essential part of planning and enjoying life in San Antonio.
Decoding the 30-Day Weather Forecast: What It Offers
The 30-day weather forecast in San Antonio, while not as detailed as a daily report, provides essential information for long-term planning. Primarily, it offers a general overview of temperature trends. You can expect to see projected average high and low temperatures for the period. These figures help in understanding whether the upcoming weeks will be warmer or cooler than usual, assisting in preparing appropriate attire and adjusting home climate controls. For instance, a forecast indicating above-average temperatures may suggest the need for lighter clothing and increased air conditioning use.
Furthermore, the forecast provides insight into precipitation patterns. Often, the 30-day weather San Antonio forecast will indicate the probability of rain, snow, or other forms of precipitation. This information is expressed as a percentage, indicating the likelihood of precipitation on any given day within the forecast period. While this doesn't pinpoint the exact timing or intensity of the rain, it helps in planning outdoor activities and preparing for potential weather disruptions. A high probability of rain might prompt the need to reschedule outdoor events or ensure you have an umbrella handy.
In addition to temperature and precipitation, the 30-day forecast often includes details about wind conditions. This may include average wind speeds and wind direction, which can impact how the temperature feels. In San Antonio, wind can significantly affect perceived temperatures, especially during the winter months when cold winds can make the weather feel much colder. Knowledge of wind patterns is also useful for various outdoor activities, such as sailing, kite flying, or simply choosing a location for a picnic.
Moreover, the forecast may include general statements about overall weather conditions. These can range from descriptions of sunny and clear skies to forecasts of cloudy and overcast conditions. These broad statements are useful for understanding the overall feel of the weather during the forecasted period. Keep in mind that this long-range forecast does not provide the specifics of each day, so the general statements are what you need to watch out for.
Beyond these core elements, some providers might include information on humidity levels, particularly important in a city like San Antonio, which experiences significant humidity levels. High humidity can make the weather feel hotter and can affect comfort levels and the probability of thunderstorms. These insights empower residents and visitors to proactively plan for a range of weather conditions, making the 30-day forecast an indispensable tool for those living in or visiting San Antonio. This forecast is an invaluable resource for anyone looking to make long-term plans or simply stay informed about the potential weather changes that may impact their day-to-day activities.
Temperature Trends and Predictions
The 30-day weather forecast for San Antonio is especially useful for understanding temperature trends and predicting the general range of temperatures expected over the upcoming weeks. You can typically find projections for average high and low temperatures, offering a broad overview of what to expect in terms of warmth and coolness. Analyzing these projections helps you anticipate the seasonal changes and make informed decisions about clothing choices, indoor climate control, and outdoor activities. — New York Jets Depth Chart Analysis 2023-2024 Season
For example, if the forecast indicates rising average high temperatures, this suggests a trend towards warmer weather. In San Antonio, this might mean the transition from mild winters into spring or the continuation of hot summer temperatures. Conversely, a forecast showing decreasing average low temperatures indicates a cooling trend, which could signal the arrival of cooler weather, such as autumn or winter. Monitoring these trends helps you adapt your daily routine accordingly, staying comfortable and prepared for whatever the weather brings.
The accuracy of these temperature predictions depends on various factors, including the time of year and the specific weather patterns in play. Spring and fall often have more variable temperatures, making predictions more challenging. Summer and winter, on the other hand, often display more consistent temperature patterns, lending themselves to more accurate long-range forecasts. Always remember that the forecast is an estimate. Actual temperatures can vary, so it is beneficial to stay updated with daily forecasts for more precise data.
Moreover, the 30-day forecast will often compare the predicted temperatures to the historical averages for the same time of year. This comparison provides valuable context, helping you understand whether the upcoming weeks are expected to be warmer, cooler, or about the same as usual. This context makes it easier to interpret the significance of the temperature trends. Understanding these temperature trends allows people to prepare for specific types of weather that may be coming.
Precipitation Probabilities and Patterns
When consulting the 30-day weather forecast for San Antonio, one of the most important elements is the probability of precipitation. This information provides an overview of the potential for rain, snow (though rare in San Antonio), or other forms of precipitation over the next several weeks. The forecast will typically express the probability as a percentage, indicating the likelihood of precipitation on any given day within the forecast period. This information helps people plan outdoor activities and prepare for potential weather disruptions. High probabilities of precipitation may mean you want to reschedule an event or have an umbrella handy.
It is important to understand that the probability of precipitation does not pinpoint the exact timing or intensity of the rainfall. Instead, it offers an estimate of the likelihood of rain occurring on any given day. For instance, a 40% chance of rain means there is a 40% probability that rain will occur somewhere in the forecast area on that particular day. A low percentage means there is less chance of rainfall, while a higher percentage means the potential for precipitation is greater.
In San Antonio, precipitation patterns can be influenced by various factors, including the seasons and large-scale weather systems. The spring and fall seasons often bring more variable weather, which can mean higher probabilities of rain due to the movement of cold fronts. The summer months can bring thunderstorms due to the heat and humidity. During the winter months, precipitation is less frequent but can sometimes include light rain or even freezing rain, depending on temperature changes.
When interpreting the forecast, it’s helpful to consider the historical precipitation averages for the time of year. Comparing the predicted probabilities to these averages provides context, indicating whether the upcoming weeks are expected to be wetter or drier than usual. This contextual information helps in assessing the potential impact of the weather on various activities.
Wind Conditions and Humidity Levels
The 30-day weather forecast for San Antonio also provides insight into wind conditions and humidity levels, which can significantly impact the feel of the weather. Average wind speeds and wind direction are often included in the forecast. This information is especially valuable for outdoor activities, such as sailing, kite flying, or simply choosing a location for a picnic. Knowledge of wind patterns also affects how you perceive the temperature.
In San Antonio, wind can greatly influence how the temperature feels. In the winter, cold winds can make temperatures feel much colder, creating a wind chill effect. Knowing the expected wind speeds can help you dress appropriately and prepare for outdoor activities. In the summer, gentle breezes can provide a welcome relief from the heat, but stronger winds might create a more uncomfortable environment.
Besides wind conditions, the 30-day forecast also includes information on humidity levels. San Antonio experiences significant humidity, especially during the summer months. High humidity can make the weather feel much hotter and can also increase the likelihood of thunderstorms. The forecast typically provides the average humidity levels for the period, and these readings assist you in anticipating comfort levels and preparing for potential weather impacts.
Understanding the interplay between temperature, wind, and humidity is vital in accurately assessing the overall weather conditions. For instance, a forecast with high temperatures, high humidity, and low wind can indicate a muggy, uncomfortable day. Conversely, a forecast with moderate temperatures, low humidity, and gentle breezes can indicate pleasant weather, conducive to outdoor activities. This is why you should regularly check forecasts to gain the best understanding of what may be coming.
Finding Reliable 30-Day Weather Forecasts: Resources and Tips
To find reliable 30-day weather forecasts for San Antonio, you have several excellent resources at your disposal. Many well-regarded weather websites and apps provide detailed long-range forecasts, offering an essential tool for both residents and visitors. Here are some of the best sources for the 30-day weather forecast.
One of the most trusted sources for weather information is the National Weather Service (NWS). The NWS provides comprehensive forecasts and weather data, including long-range forecasts, often updated regularly. The NWS website features detailed weather maps, radar imagery, and climate information, making it a valuable resource. Also, the NWS typically has a dedicated local office for San Antonio, which allows you to gain valuable insight.
Other popular weather websites, such as AccuWeather and The Weather Channel, also provide detailed 30-day forecasts. These websites offer user-friendly interfaces, with interactive maps, graphs, and other features. You can easily access a wide range of weather information, including temperature trends, precipitation probabilities, and wind conditions. Some of these websites also feature mobile apps, allowing you to stay informed about the weather on the go. These sources are a convenient way to get the weather at your fingertips.
Local news stations are also an excellent resource. Most local news channels in San Antonio have dedicated weather teams that provide detailed forecasts, which incorporate the 30-day weather forecast into their overall coverage. They also provide weather reports during their newscasts and often have active social media accounts. This is also a good source because they are based in the local area, and they are aware of local weather patterns.
Additionally, it's helpful to consult multiple sources to get a comprehensive view of the weather. Different forecasting models may produce slightly different results, so comparing the forecasts from various sources can help you gauge the overall trend and assess the potential risks. This method is useful for the 30-day forecast since the long-range prediction is not exact. This cross-referencing will help you receive a better understanding.
Utilizing Weather Apps and Websites
Accessing the 30-day weather San Antonio forecast is very simple with the abundance of weather apps and websites now available. Whether you prefer checking on your computer or your mobile device, these resources provide easy access to the information you need. Utilizing these tools can help you stay informed about temperature trends, precipitation probabilities, and other weather conditions. Here's how to get started. — Sharon Osbourne Today Exploring Her Life, Career, And Current Projects
When using weather websites, start by navigating to the website of your choice. Enter the location, San Antonio, Texas, in the search bar, and the website will bring up the weather forecast for that location. You can then view the 30-day forecast, typically displayed in a chart or calendar format, where you can find the projected high and low temperatures, the probability of precipitation, and other relevant weather information. Look for the detailed information to gain a better understanding.
Weather apps, available for both iOS and Android devices, offer a convenient way to access weather information. Many of the popular weather websites also have their corresponding apps, but there are also several independent weather app developers. Download the app you prefer from the app store, search for San Antonio, Texas, and view the 30-day forecast. You can typically customize the app to receive notifications, personalize the display, and access additional weather data, such as radar imagery and climate information.
When exploring different apps and websites, pay attention to the interface and ease of navigation. Choose a platform that is user-friendly and provides the weather information clearly and concisely. Look for the features that are most important to you, whether it’s detailed radar maps, customizable alerts, or access to climate information. Finding the right app that matches your individual preferences is important.
Moreover, you can take advantage of the interactive features offered by these resources. Many websites and apps allow you to zoom in on specific days or weeks, providing detailed weather information for each period. You can also often view historical weather data, compare current conditions to averages, and access weather forecasts from different sources, which helps in developing an informed perspective. By utilizing these tools, you can stay up-to-date with the latest weather trends and make informed decisions based on the long-range weather outlook. — Andrew Marc New York: Brand, Products, And Style Guide
Understanding the Accuracy and Limitations
While using the 30-day weather forecast for San Antonio can be invaluable for planning, it's also essential to understand its limitations. Unlike short-term forecasts, which predict weather conditions over the next few days with a high degree of accuracy, the 30-day forecast is more of a general outlook. The accuracy of the 30-day forecast can be influenced by several factors.
One of the primary limitations is the complexity of the atmosphere itself. Weather patterns are governed by many interacting factors, including atmospheric pressure, temperature gradients, jet streams, and ocean currents. These factors can change over time, making it difficult to predict weather conditions accurately over an extended period. The further you go in the forecast, the more these factors become an issue.
Another factor is the inherent uncertainty in weather models. While meteorologists use complex computer models to simulate atmospheric behavior and generate forecasts, these models are not perfect. They are based on mathematical equations that approximate the behavior of the atmosphere, and even small errors in the initial conditions can lead to large deviations in the forecast over time. The models are constantly evolving, but it's impossible to create a perfect model.
Moreover, the accuracy of the 30-day forecast also varies with the season. Certain times of year, such as spring and fall, have more variable weather patterns, which are harder to predict than the more stable weather conditions during summer and winter. It is important to understand the forecast's limits and interpret it with a sense of probability rather than certainty.
To maximize the usefulness of the 30-day weather forecast for San Antonio, use it as a general guide for planning. Don't rely on the details of the forecast for making critical decisions, and always check the short-term daily forecasts for the most accurate information. Always compare the forecasts from several different sources to gain a broader perspective and stay informed about weather conditions as they evolve. Regular use and updating is important for weather forecasts.
San Antonio's Climate: Key Factors Influencing Weather
The 30-day weather forecast for San Antonio is particularly relevant given the city's unique climate, characterized by subtropical conditions influenced by several key factors. These elements significantly impact temperature, precipitation, and overall weather patterns throughout the year. Understanding these influences provides valuable context for interpreting the 30-day forecast and anticipating the potential weather conditions.
One of the primary factors influencing San Antonio's climate is its geographical location in South Central Texas. This region is exposed to warm air masses from the Gulf of Mexico, which brings high humidity and influences temperature. During the summer, these warm, moist air masses contribute to high heat and humidity levels, often leading to thunderstorms. In the winter, they can provide a source of mild temperatures and occasional rainfall.
Another critical factor is the proximity of San Antonio to the Gulf of Mexico. The Gulf influences temperature, humidity, and precipitation patterns throughout the year. During hurricane season, the city can be affected by the storms that develop in the Gulf, leading to heavy rainfall and potential flooding. Also, the city's location in the heart of Texas provides a climate that does not usually reach drastic temperatures, unlike areas of the state with deserts and extreme conditions.
Furthermore, the prevailing wind patterns and the movement of weather systems play a significant role in San Antonio's climate. The prevailing winds transport air masses from various directions, bringing different temperature and moisture levels. The movement of cold fronts during the winter can bring periods of cooler temperatures and rainfall, while the presence of high-pressure systems during the summer often leads to hotter and drier conditions.
In addition, the urban heat island effect can also influence the local climate. The concentration of buildings, roads, and other infrastructure can cause the city's temperature to be warmer than surrounding rural areas, especially at night. This effect can also impact local weather patterns and affect comfort levels for residents.
By understanding these influences, you can make more informed decisions based on the 30-day forecast. Keep in mind that the forecast considers these seasonal variations and provides a general idea of what to expect. Knowing about the areas of influence for San Antonio's climate will improve your understanding.
Seasonal Variations and Weather Patterns
When reviewing the 30-day weather forecast for San Antonio, recognizing the seasonal variations and associated weather patterns can help you get the most value out of the long-range outlook. San Antonio experiences distinct seasons, each with its characteristic temperatures, precipitation levels, and weather phenomena. Understanding these patterns makes it easier to anticipate what to expect in the upcoming weeks or months. The seasonal variations also help you better interpret what the 30-day forecast says and whether it seems reliable.
During the summer, San Antonio experiences hot and humid weather, with average high temperatures often exceeding 90°F (32°C) and high humidity levels. The 30-day forecast often indicates these high temperatures and provides information on the potential for thunderstorms, which are common during the summer months. Be prepared for this weather with lightweight clothing, sun protection, and access to indoor cooling.
In the fall, the weather begins to cool, with average temperatures gradually decreasing and humidity levels dropping. The 30-day forecast reflects this cooling trend, indicating the transition from warm summer temperatures to the milder conditions of fall. Be aware of the potential for occasional rainfall due to the movement of cold fronts during this season.
The winter in San Antonio is generally mild, with average temperatures ranging from the 40s to 60s Fahrenheit (4 to 15 Celsius). While freezing temperatures are rare, occasional cold snaps can occur. The 30-day forecast will highlight the potential for cold temperatures and may indicate the probability of rainfall or even light snow. This will help you to know how to best prepare for the weather.
During the spring, the weather in San Antonio is typically warm and pleasant, with average temperatures gradually increasing. The 30-day forecast will reflect this warming trend, highlighting the transition from the cooler temperatures of winter to the warm conditions of spring. It will also often indicate the potential for rain, as spring is a time of year when weather can vary quickly due to the movement of weather systems.
The Impact of Local Geography
The local geography profoundly impacts the 30-day weather forecast for San Antonio, influencing temperature, precipitation, and overall weather patterns throughout the year. The city’s location in South Central Texas, along the edge of the Texas Hill Country, plays a crucial role. This geographical context provides a framework for understanding the local climate and anticipating potential weather conditions. This gives context to the forecast and allows you to interpret the numbers better.
The topography around San Antonio, including the rolling hills and plains of the surrounding areas, affects local wind patterns, which can influence temperatures and precipitation. For example, the hills can act as a barrier to weather systems, leading to localized variations in rainfall and temperature. The plains and surrounding areas can allow for more open winds, leading to changes in weather. The local geography has a great influence on how the weather will feel on a given day.
The city's proximity to the Edwards Plateau also plays a role in weather patterns. The Edwards Plateau, which is to the north and west of San Antonio, provides a source of cooler, drier air. This cooler air can sometimes moderate the city’s temperatures, especially during the summer months. This influence can create a subtle but meaningful impact, which is helpful to understand.
Furthermore, the urban environment of San Antonio, including the concentration of buildings and roads, creates what is known as the urban heat island effect. The urban heat island effect means that the city is warmer than the surrounding rural areas, particularly at night. This effect can have an influence on local weather patterns, including the formation of thunderstorms and the intensity of heat waves. The city’s location and landscape combine to create a unique climate that you should keep in mind when interpreting the 30-day forecast.
Limitations and Best Practices for Using the 30-Day Forecast
When using the 30-day weather forecast for San Antonio, it is essential to understand its limitations and adhere to best practices to get the most value from this weather tool. The 30-day forecast provides a general outlook, but it does not offer a perfect prediction. Recognizing the inherent limitations helps you make informed decisions and avoid relying too heavily on the forecast for crucial plans.
One of the primary limitations of the 30-day forecast is the inherent uncertainty in long-range weather predictions. The atmosphere is complex, with numerous factors affecting weather patterns. Small errors in initial conditions or weather models can lead to significant deviations in the forecast over time. The farther out you look, the more the forecast is subject to change. It is a general outlook, not a precise prediction.
Another limitation is that the 30-day forecast typically provides a general overview rather than daily specifics. While it may offer insights into temperature trends and precipitation probabilities, it does not provide the detailed, day-by-day weather conditions that short-term forecasts do. The 30-day forecast also might not account for localized weather events, such as microclimates, thunderstorms, or other factors, which can vary greatly in an area. Remember that the 30-day forecast is only a tool and not a guarantee.
To get the best use out of the 30-day forecast, it's best to rely on short-term forecasts, which have a higher degree of accuracy, for making critical decisions. Short-term forecasts, which can be daily or even hourly, offer a more precise picture of what to expect in the coming days. You should cross-reference information for all forecasts, and use the 30-day forecast for general planning purposes, such as deciding on a vacation or determining if you need to prepare your house for possible inclement weather.
Understanding the Forecast's Margin of Error
Understanding the forecast's margin of error is essential when using the 30-day weather forecast for San Antonio, as it will help you interpret the information more accurately and make better decisions based on the forecast. The margin of error refers to the degree of uncertainty inherent in the prediction and can vary depending on the time of year, weather patterns, and forecasting models. This margin of error should always be kept in mind, to improve the usefulness of the forecast.
The margin of error tends to increase as the forecast extends further out. The accuracy of the forecast for the first week may be reasonably good, but the uncertainty will increase for the weeks ahead. This is due to the inherent complexity of the atmosphere and the impact of interacting factors. The forecast is more of a trend, and not an exact prediction. Always compare the 30-day forecast with information from other sources.
Also, the margin of error varies based on the season. During the spring and fall, the weather can be more variable, making it more difficult to make long-range predictions. During the summer and winter, the weather often displays more stable patterns. This can lead to more accurate long-range forecasts. Recognize that you might have to modify your plans or expectations based on the time of year and seasonal variations.
By recognizing the margin of error, you can use the 30-day forecast with more confidence. The forecast is not a guarantee, but it offers insights into the likely weather trends for the upcoming weeks. Understanding the limits of the forecast will help you make informed decisions, and you should be mindful of how much trust you place in the forecast. Never rely on a single source and compare information from multiple sources for the best results.
Tips for Effective Use and Planning
For effective use and planning with the 30-day weather forecast for San Antonio, consider several key tips that can help you maximize its usefulness. The 30-day forecast can be an invaluable tool for planning. Always use the forecast as one piece of the puzzle for making informed decisions about your life and upcoming events.
First, use the 30-day forecast as a general guide for planning. It is an excellent tool for making broad decisions, such as selecting the time for a vacation, preparing for seasonal changes, or getting a general feel for weather conditions. However, do not rely on the forecast for making critical decisions, like deciding on an outdoor event or scheduling important activities that depend on the weather. Always check the short-term daily forecasts for the most accurate information and use them as a reference.
Second, use the forecast in conjunction with other weather resources. Cross-reference the 30-day forecast with other weather websites, apps, and local news sources. This helps provide a broader perspective on potential weather conditions. Comparing forecasts from different sources can also assist you in judging the overall trend and assessing the likelihood of specific weather events. This will improve your understanding.
Third, consider the limitations of the 30-day forecast and be prepared for potential changes. The forecast is subject to error. Keep your plans flexible and be ready to adjust them based on the weather. It is also beneficial to monitor daily forecasts as the date nears. Remember to stay informed and adjust your expectations based on real-time weather conditions. Being able to alter your plans is a great way to overcome any issues.
Finally, always stay updated with the latest weather reports. Check the forecast frequently, especially in the days or weeks leading up to any events. If you are preparing for an outdoor event, keep checking the daily forecast for any updates. If the forecast changes, consider adjusting your plans as needed. With the right use of information, you can maximize the benefits of the forecast and stay well-prepared for any weather event.
Frequently Asked Questions About San Antonio's 30-Day Weather Forecast
Q: How accurate is the 30-day weather forecast for San Antonio?
A: The accuracy of the 30-day weather forecast for San Antonio varies. It is most accurate for predicting general trends, such as temperature and precipitation probabilities, but less precise for daily specifics. The accuracy also depends on the time of year, with more stable weather patterns in summer and winter. Always use the forecast as a guide and verify details with daily reports.
Q: Where can I find a reliable 30-day weather forecast for San Antonio?
A: You can find reliable 30-day weather forecasts for San Antonio from various sources. The National Weather Service (NWS), AccuWeather, The Weather Channel, and local news stations are all excellent resources. Checking multiple sources is recommended to get a comprehensive view. Additionally, many apps provide updated information.
Q: How does the 30-day forecast differ from a daily forecast?
A: The 30-day forecast offers a general outlook for an extended period, including trends in temperature and precipitation probabilities. Daily forecasts provide detailed, day-by-day weather conditions, including specific temperatures, wind speeds, and the timing of precipitation. Daily forecasts are more accurate for immediate planning.
Q: What factors influence the weather in San Antonio?
A: The weather in San Antonio is influenced by its location in South Central Texas, proximity to the Gulf of Mexico, prevailing wind patterns, and the urban heat island effect. These factors contribute to the city's subtropical climate, with hot summers, mild winters, and moderate rainfall. Seasonal variations and large weather systems play a significant role.
Q: How can I use the 30-day forecast for effective planning?
A: Use the 30-day forecast as a general guide for long-term planning. Check it for temperature trends and precipitation probabilities. However, verify the details with daily forecasts for critical decisions. Compare information from multiple sources and stay updated with weather reports for the most accurate picture of weather conditions.
Q: Does the 30-day forecast predict specific weather events?
A: The 30-day forecast primarily provides insights into general trends rather than predicting specific weather events on a given day. While it may indicate the probability of precipitation, it will not typically provide the precise timing or intensity of rain, thunderstorms, or other localized phenomena. Always consult daily forecasts for specific details.
Q: How often is the 30-day weather forecast updated?
A: The 30-day weather forecast is typically updated regularly, often daily or several times a week. The updates are based on the latest weather models and data. It's a good practice to check the forecast frequently to stay current. The frequency of updates may vary between different providers.
Q: What should I do if the 30-day forecast changes significantly?
A: If the 30-day forecast changes significantly, reevaluate your plans and make adjustments as needed. Consider the impact of the changes on your activities. Also, check daily forecasts for updated details and cross-reference information from different sources to get a comprehensive view of the potential weather conditions. Be prepared to stay flexible and adapt your plans based on the evolving weather outlook.